BBQ and Picnic Weather
Pick your park or garden and a date, and the checker scores the weather for 3 hours of grilling or picnicking.
What matters most for a barbecue or picnic
For a picnic or barbecue, rain counts 1.4 times: a 30% chance adds 4.2 points and 50% adds 7, high risk on its own. Wind counts 1.2 times: 1.2 points above 15 km/h, 2.4 above 25 km/h and 4.8 above 40 km/h. Wind blows food, napkins and smoke around and makes a grill harder to control.
Heat and cold count 0.9 times (1.8 points above 32 °C, 3.6 above 38 °C, 0.9 below 10 °C and 2.7 below 5 °C) and humidity 0.6 times (0.6 above 60%, 1.2 above 80%). Up to 3 is low risk, up to 6 moderate and above 6 high. These are WeatherApex weights for picnics and barbecues.
Worked example: 10% chance of rain, 28 km/h of wind, 25 °C and 50% humidity give 1.4 + 2.4 + 0 + 0 = 3.8 points, a moderate risk for a barbecue, almost all from the wind. At 12 km/h it falls to 1.4 (low).
Best and worst barbecue months in 10 cities
Picnic and barbecue risk for an average day in each month, from the 2006–2025 averages (chance of rain = rainy days divided by 30, typical afternoon high and humidity, no wind).
| City | Lowest risk | Highest risk |
|---|---|---|
| Lisbon | July · 1.7 (low) | December · 7.2 (high) |
| Rome | July · 4 (moderate) | November · 8.2 (high) |
| Barcelona | July · 4.5 (moderate) | September · 7.6 (high) |
| Madrid | July · 3.1 (moderate) | January · 6 (moderate) |
| Paris | September · 6.6 (high) | January · 9.5 (high) |
| London | September · 7 (high) | January · 9.2 (high) |
| Amsterdam | April · 7.9 (high) | November · 10 (high) |
| Berlin | September · 6.9 (high) | January · 10 (high) |
| Vienna | February · 5.7 (moderate) | December · 9.1 (high) |
| New York | November · 4.4 (moderate) | January · 7.5 (high) |
The lowest risk is in Lisbon in July (1.7). 1 of 10 cities have at least one low-risk month. In rainier cities, pick the day with the hourly forecast rather than the month.
Barbecue and picnic checklist
- Choose the window the checker marks as best and light the grill then.
- Above 25 km/h of wind, find a sheltered spot and keep the grill away from dry grass.
- On days above 32 °C, plan for shade and keep the food cool.
- At moderate risk, pick a place with a roof nearby.
FAQ
What is the best weather for a barbecue?
Dry, calm and mild: below 15 km/h of wind and between 10 and 32 °C nothing is added, while every 10% chance of rain adds 1.4 points.
Is it too windy for a barbecue?
Above 25 km/h the checker adds 2.4 points for picnics and barbecues, and above 40 km/h 4.8. From about 25 km/h, look for shelter and take care with sparks.
What time of day is best for a picnic?
It depends on the day. The checker scores every 3-hour window from 6 am and shows the one with the lowest risk.
How far ahead can I plan a barbecue?
Up to 10 days ahead with the hourly forecast. The checker also shows nearby days, so you can pick the better day of a weekend.
More ways to plan
- Event weather risk: all event types
- Wedding Weather Forecast
- Outdoor Concert Weather
- Marathon Weather Forecast
- Festival Weather Forecast
Month pages for the best months
- Lisbon in July
- Rome in July
- Barcelona in July
- Madrid in July
- Paris in September
- London in September
- Amsterdam in April
- Berlin in September
- Vienna in February
- New York in November
